Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Houston | Marcus Sasser. (This is a weird week to submit a first-time provisional.) |
2 | Kansas | (So many teams lost this past week. It's tough to try to compare resumes objectively from here.) |
3 | Purdue | A one-point loss at a quality Rutgers team shouldn't drop them too far. (These rankings are based off of a mix of eye test, resume, and metrics.) |
4 | UConn | (I don't have a set rubric on how much I evaluate each.) |
5 | Alabama | (But I do try to keep head-to-head results in mind when two teams have similar bodies of work.) |
6 | Tennessee | The predictive metrics are in love with this team (2nd in both KenPom and BartTorvik) ... |
7 | Kansas State | ... but not this one (22nd in BartTorvik, 26th in KenPom). |
8 | Gonzaga | Cue the bellyaching about "how many losses would they have if they played in a REAL conference?!" right about... now. |
9 | UCLA | |
10 | Arizona | They still have five Q1 wins. |
11 | Miami (FL) | I feel like we're not giving these guys enough credit. |
12 | Xavier | |
13 | Providence | Another team the computers don't seem to like very much (30th in KenPom, 42nd in BartTorvik). |
14 | Texas | They did the right thing by letting Chris Beard go. They still have the talent and experience to do work in March. |
15 | Iowa State | |
16 | Virginia | |
17 | Marquette | Once again Marquette was picked towards the bottom of the Big East, and once again Shaka Smart is greatly overachieving those preseason expectations. |
18 | Charleston | Their resume is thin by no fault of their own. They scheduled six teams that were in the NCAA Tournament last season and nearly all of them have underachieved their preseason expectations. |
19 | Florida Atlantic | HOOT HOOT HOOT HOOT HOOT HOOT HOOT |
20 | Arkansas | OINK OINK OINK OINK OINK OINK OINK |
21 | San Diego State | MWC hype train derailed, through no fault of their own. New Mexico and Utah State have one Q1 win between them. |
22 | Missouri | Their best win right now by metrics is *checks notes* UCF. |
23 | Wisconsin | Computer hate (51st in KenPom, 62nd in BartTorvik) overshadows an otherwise solid body of work. |
24 | Auburn | Their body of work is pretty strong, but... Georgia, tho. |
25 | TCU | I get the nagging feeling that they could be this season's "super soft NCSoS" snub. KenPom has their non-conference schedule ranked 359th in the country. |
Wait, there's a box down here for "overall rationale?" I love this new site!