Pro-1st-Amendment's Week 4 Ballot
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purdue | LW: 1 |
| 2 | Duke | LW: 4 |
| 3 | Houston | LW: 2; probably the computer model's largest outlier. They barely beat an Auburn team who it thinks is fraudulent. |
| 4 | Gonzaga | LW: 10; 1st in the computer model. |
| 5 | UConn | LW: 3 |
| 6 | Arizona | LW: 8; despite beating UConn I don't think they're the better team, and my model backs that up as of now... by all of 0.4 expected points per game. |
| 7 | Louisville | LW: 5 |
| 8 | Florida | LW: 7 |
| 9 | St. John's | LW: 13 |
| 10 | Michigan | LW: 11 |
| 11 | BYU | LW: 12 |
| 12 | Illinois | LW: 9 |
| 13 | Kentucky | LW: 6 |
| 14 | Iowa State | LW: 14 |
| 15 | NC State | LW: 21; probably higher than they should be but the computer model loves them |
| 16 | Tennessee | LW: 15 |
| 17 | Michigan State | LW: 25; I do this every year and Izzo still surprises me. |
| 18 | Alabama | LW: 20 |
| 19 | Vanderbilt | LW: 17 |
| 20 | North Carolina | LW: 18 |
| 21 | Auburn | LW: 22; I'm ignoring everything the computer model says about them. |
| 22 | Indiana | LW: NR |
| 23 | Texas Tech | LW: 16; the team on my ballot that the computer model likes least (58th.) |
| 24 | Wisconsin | LW: 19 |
| 25 | Kansas | LW: NR |
Overall Rationale
Not all games were final on Sunday when I submitted this (the only directly relevant one is that UConn is currently in the process of decisively beating Bryant.) Dropped: Arkansas (#23), UCLA (#24). My computer model now has enough data to start producing some results. This is the first week in which I'm considering anything from the computer model in my rankings. (Not publishing the full list, but I'll note that Houston and Louisville might be on upset watch if it's right.)