| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purdue | |
| 2 | Kansas | |
| 3 | Houston | |
| 4 | UConn | |
| 5 | Gonzaga | |
| 6 | Baylor | |
| 7 | Arizona | |
| 8 | Duke | |
| 9 | Alabama | |
| 10 | Tennessee | |
| 11 | Marquette | |
| 12 | Michigan State | |
| 13 | Creighton | |
| 14 | Arkansas | |
| 15 | Auburn | |
| 16 | Kentucky | |
| 17 | North Carolina | |
| 18 | Texas | |
| 19 | Illinois | |
| 20 | Wisconsin | |
| 21 | USC | |
| 22 | Texas A&M | |
| 23 | Maryland | |
| 24 | Villanova | |
| 25 | Kansas State |
Analytically the top five teams are far and away better than the rest of the pack. Number six Baylor is closer to number 14 Arkansas than they are to number 5 Gonzaga. This ranking is more where I expect teams to finish the year than it is hype around what a team may be able to achieve at its peak during the season.